Text: Izzy Copestake
Last night, Trump announced what he’s been promising for the last few weeks: 20% tariffs on the EU. The US President dubbed the day of tariff announcements as “Liberation Day” for the US economy, but with the threat of a full-scale global trade war looming, what does this mean for Ireland—one of the world’s most globalised economies?
A tariff is a tax on imported goods, designed to make foreign products more expensive and encourage consumers to buy domestically. While tariffs can, in theory, strengthen local industries and create jobs, they often lead to higher prices for consumers. Trump is implementing a 20% tariff on EU imports as part of his “America First” strategy. He argues that unfair trade practices and subsidies in the EU have hurt American industries. However, critics across the globe warn that this move could escalate into a trade war, harming both U.S. exporters and global markets.
Products like Kerrygold butter, which holds the second-largest market share in the U.S., along with Irish whiskey and other Irish spirits, are going to be hit hard by these tariffs. Officials have warned that this could lead to job losses and reduced investment unless the issue is swiftly addressed through negotiations. This is expected to cause significant disruption.
Crucially for Ireland, Trump has not placed tariffs on the pharmaceutical industry – for now. Ireland is a major exporter of pharmaceuticals to the U.S. The pharmaceutical sector alone accounts for a substantial portion of Ireland’s economy, with major companies like Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, and AbbVie operating large production facilities here. This move is intended to maintain stability in supply chains and reduce potential negative repercussions on the U.S. economy.
The EU has heavily criticised Trump’s tariffs, calling them unjustified and harmful to the global economy. European officials argue that these tariffs violate World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules and have threatened to retaliate with their own tariffs on U.S. goods. The EU has also emphasised the importance of finding a diplomatic solution to prevent a full-scale trade war, urging both sides to engage in negotiations rather than escalating tensions further.
Northern Ireland faces unique economic challenges due to differing U.S. tariff rates. Exports from the North to the U.S. are taxed at 10%. While this could benefit Northern Irish exporters like whiskey, post-Brexit trade arrangements complicate matters. Goods entering Northern Ireland are treated as imports to the EU, meaning any EU retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods will also affect the North. This could create an economic divide between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK.